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CBO attributes about one-third of FY2012 deficit to weak economy

Abstract: In a September 27, 2011, letter, the Honorable Chris Van Hollen requested an estimate of the portion of the federal deficit that is due to the current underutilization of capital and labor resources in the economy. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that if those resources were not underutilized—that …

A recovery, if we can keep it

You might have missed it, but the recession officially ended in June 2009. That’s the conclusion announced by the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) on September 20. The committee determined that a trough in business activity occurred in that month, marking an end …

Second quarter GDP estimate revised downward

Economic growth in the second quarter was slower than previously estimated, according to the Commerce Department’s August revision. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a 1.6 percent annual rate from April to June, down from the initial estimate of 2.4 percent after a first quarter increase of 3.7 percent. “The …